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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-09-16T02:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-09-16T02:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21639/-1
CME Note: Visible in the SW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, not visible in STEREO A COR2 due to beacon data gap. May be associated with second filament eruption near S35W55, visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 beginning 2022-09-16T01:09Z. Overtakes/merges with earlier CME from same location by 2022-09-16T07:30Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-09-18T23:48Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 22.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.6 - 4.6
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -20205.13 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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